Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardstraw vs Islandmagee

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Islandmagee in this Irish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ardstraw
15%
Draws
21%
Islandmagee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Islandmagee have won more games recently than Ardstraw.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ardstraw taking it.
  • Islandmagee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Islandmagee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Ardstraw Clean Sheet 10%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardstraw Islandmagee
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.29 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 Irish Cup
Ardstraw vs Islandmagee
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardstraw 83 / 100
Islandmagee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardstraw Islandmagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ardstraw scored in 93% of their last 14 outings.

Islandmagee let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ardstraw went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ardstraw VS Islandmagee
4 Goals Scored 3.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardstraw

(Home)
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
29 Sept
Tobermore
5 : 3
Ardstraw
18 Aug
Ardstraw
7 : 0
Dromore Amateurs
Page 1 of 3

Islandmagee

(Away)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
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Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
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Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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Ballymena -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
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Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
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Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
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Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
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Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
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Shorts -
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
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Immaculata -
Aquinas -
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Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
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Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
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Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
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Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
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TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
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Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2