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Arema FC vs Dewa United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arema FC host Dewa United in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dewa United have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Arema FC have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Arema FC have won 1 to Dewa United's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Dewa United. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arema FC
35%
Draws
36%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arema FC haven't matched Dewa United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arema FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 16%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Dewa United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs Arema FC
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Dewa United
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Arema FC
2:0
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs Dewa United
0:0
Nov 2, 2023 Super League
Arema FC vs Dewa United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 41 / 100
Dewa United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Dewa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arema FC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Arema FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dewa United let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS Dewa United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Arema FC
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

Dewa United

(Away)
11 Oct
Persib Bandung
2 : 2
Dewa United
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
3 Bali United 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
5 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
6 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
7 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Persib Bandung 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
9 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
10 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
11 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
12 PSS Sleman 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
13 Java United 4 1 1 2 5:6 2
14 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
15 PSM Makassar 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
17 Persijap Jepara 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)