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Arema FC vs Persik Kediri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
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Match Events

6' Event
Fariz Z.
9'
30' Event
Matheus Blade
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Arema FC
30%
Draws
23%
Persik Kediri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persik Kediri haven't matched Arema FC's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Arema FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Persik Kediri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Persik Kediri
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
1:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
2:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
0:3
Dec 16, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Persik Kediri Compare

Top Goalscorer Fariz Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 76 / 100
Persik Kediri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Persik Kediri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persik Kediri let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Arema FC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Arema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS Persik Kediri
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2
Arema FC
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1
Arema FC
Page 1 of 7

Persik Kediri

(Away)
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
23 May
Persebaya
5 : 0
Persik Kediri
16 May
Persik Kediri
1 : 3
Persija Jakarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)