Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Arenal and Alcudia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alcudia a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Alcudia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenal | Alcudia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arenal Compare
Alcudia Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Arenal scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Alcudia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.
Alcudia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arenal
(Home)Alcudia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | SD Ibiza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
