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Arenal vs CD Montuiri

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Montuiri in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Montuiri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Arenal
20%
Draws
38%
CD Montuiri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Montuiri have won more games recently than Arenal.
  • Arenal are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Montuiri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arenal Clean Sheet 20%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal CD Montuiri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs CD Montuiri
0:3
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Arenal
2:1
Apr 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Arenal
1:2
Dec 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs CD Montuiri
0:4
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Arenal
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 42 / 100
CD Montuiri 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal CD Montuiri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

CD Montuiri let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: CD Montuiri has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arenal's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Arenal
1 : 2
Santanyi
20 Apr
Manacor
3 : 1
Arenal
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CD Montuiri

(Away)
15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1
CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0
CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0
Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0
CD Montuiri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manacor382310551:2379
2UD Poblense38246871:4478
3Constancia38239662:2578
4Binissalem382210663:3076
5Llosetense38236970:4475
6Pena Deportiva381912753:2569
7Santanyi381891153:4363
8El Espinar Sant Rafel381218847:3654
9Mercadal3814101455:4552
10Collerense3812111540:4947
11CD Montuiri381371846:5846
12Ferriolense381281848:5544
13Campos3810141443:5244
14Alcudia3811101743:6143
15Felanitx381191836:5642
16CD Ferrerias3810111741:5141
17Alaior381082035:6138
18Penya Arrabal38832745:7827
19Norteno CF38762524:5627
20Arenal38672532:6625
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)