Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Arenal and Mercadal finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercadal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mercadal come out ahead of Arenal on wins alone.
- Model gives Mercadal a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenal | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 37 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenal scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Mercadal conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Arenal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arenal
(Home)Mercadal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 51:23 | 79 |
| 2 | UD Poblense | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 71:44 | 78 |
| 3 | Constancia | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 62:25 | 78 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 63:30 | 76 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:44 | 75 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 53:25 | 69 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:43 | 63 |
| 8 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47:36 | 54 |
| 9 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46:58 | 46 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 48:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 43:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:56 | 42 |
| 16 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Alaior | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 35:61 | 38 |
| 18 | Penya Arrabal | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 45:78 | 27 |
| 19 | Norteno CF | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 24:56 | 27 |
| 20 | Arenal | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32:66 | 25 |
