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Arenas Armilla vs Malaga Juniors

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gadea Herrero J.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Gaona R.
36' Event
Lozano A.

AI Match Summary

Arenas Armilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenas Armilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Arenas Armilla
20%
Draws
0%
Malaga Juniors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arenas Armilla lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
  • Win probability leans Arenas Armilla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Armilla Malaga Juniors
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.32 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Malaga Juniors
3:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Arenas Armilla
0:1
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Malaga Juniors
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Arenas Armilla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Armilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolivar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Malaga Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaona R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 85 / 100
Malaga Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Armilla Malaga Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga Juniors let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Malaga Juniors has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Arenas Armilla scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Armilla VS Malaga Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenas Armilla

(Home)
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
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Malaga Juniors

(Away)
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)