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Arenas Armilla vs Mancha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Arenas Armilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenas Armilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Arenas Armilla
35%
Draws
10%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenas Armilla have won more games recently than Mancha.
  • Arenas Armilla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Arenas Armilla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 68%
Mancha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Armilla Mancha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Mancha
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Arenas Armilla
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Mancha
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Mancha
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Arenas Armilla
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Armilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mancha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 95 / 100
Mancha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Armilla Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arenas Armilla scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Arenas Armilla has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mancha conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Armilla VS Mancha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenas Armilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

Mancha

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)