Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Salvatierra D.
18'
18'
Bolivar M.
34'
34'
Sako S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Arenas Armilla and Martos finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arenas Armilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arenas Armilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arenas Armilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Arenas Armilla's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Arenas Armilla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 68%
Martos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Martos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.64 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Martos
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Arenas Armilla
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Martos
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Arenas Armilla
0:1
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Arenas Armilla
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arenas Armilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Salvatierra D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bolivar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Martos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sako S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arenas Armilla 95 / 100
Martos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arenas Armilla Martos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Arenas Armilla scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Martos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Arenas Armilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arenas Armilla VS Martos
1 Goals Scored 0.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.2
38% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Arenas Armilla
(Home) 27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
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27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 3
Martos
(Away) 10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0 Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1 Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0 Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1 Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0 Martos
05 Apr
Marbelli
1 : 2 Martos
22 Mar
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2 Martos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
