Sport Picks
Arenas De Frajanas vs Guarnizo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Guarnizo in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Guarnizo have won more games recently than Arenas De Frajanas.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guarnizo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arenas De Frajanas Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenas De Frajanas | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Arenas De Frajanas vs Guarnizo
0:1
Oct 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Arenas De Frajanas
3:0
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Arenas De Frajanas
2:0
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Arenas De Frajanas vs Guarnizo
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arenas De Frajanas 36 / 100
Guarnizo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arenas De Frajanas Guarnizo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Arenas De Frajanas scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Guarnizo conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arenas De Frajanas
(Home) 16 May
Arenas De Frajanas
2 : 0 Gama
10 May
CD Colindres
2 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
02 May
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 2 Cayon CD
29 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
4 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
25 Apr
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 1 Castro
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Arenas De Frajanas
2 : 0 Gama
02 May
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 2 Cayon CD
25 Apr
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 1 Castro
11 Apr
Arenas De Frajanas
2 : 2 UM Escobedo
02 Apr
Arenas De Frajanas
3 : 3 CD Siete Villas
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Guarnizo
(Away) 03 Oct
Torina
1 : 1 Guarnizo
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
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03 Oct
Torina
1 : 1 Guarnizo
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Noja | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 102:30 | 87 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85:40 | 85 |
| 3 | Rayo Cantabria | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 91:30 | 78 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 58:36 | 78 |
| 5 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 84:43 | 75 |
| 6 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 63:50 | 68 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 61:49 | 65 |
| 8 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 75:53 | 59 |
| 9 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 58:60 | 50 |
| 10 | Castro | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 62:63 | 48 |
| 11 | Guarnizo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Vimenor | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 45:65 | 45 |
| 13 | Pontejos | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 50:65 | 41 |
| 14 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:71 | 40 |
| 15 | Bezana | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 43:66 | 38 |
| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 50:69 | 38 |
| 17 | San Martin Arena | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 44:68 | 34 |
| 18 | Buelna | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 36:76 | 33 |
| 19 | CD Barquereno | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35:72 | 29 |
| 20 | Arenas De Frajanas | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 30:108 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
