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Arendal vs Kongsberg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2012 game between Arendal and Kongsberg finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Arendal
15%
Draws
31%
Kongsberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arendal come out ahead of Kongsberg on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Arendal taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Arendal Clean Sheet 15%
Kongsberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Kongsberg
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.78 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Arendal vs Kongsberg
6:1
May 5, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Kongsberg vs Arendal
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 84 / 100
Kongsberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Kongsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsberg let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Arendal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Arendal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Arendal
4 : 0
Vidar
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Kongsberg

(Away)
22 Oct
Kongsberg
4 : 2
Vestfossen
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
11 Oct
Kongsberg
2 : 1
Mjondalen 2
04 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
2 : 2
Kongsberg
27 Sept
Kongsberg
2 : 3
Odds BK 3
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