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Arenteiro vs Cacereno

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Cuellar J.
25'
Sub
Chuca In: Bastida A.
Out: Chuca
35'
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Arenteiro and Cacereno finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Arenteiro
20%
Draws
73%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cacereno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cacereno's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 24%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Cacereno
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.46 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Cacereno
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Arenteiro
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrio J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 29 / 100
Cacereno 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arenteiro scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Arenteiro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS Cacereno
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
17% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

Cacereno

(Away)
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)