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Arezzo vs Cremonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arezzo host Cremonese in the Serie B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cremonese have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Arezzo have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Cremonese slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2020, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring Cremonese. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Arezzo
20%
Draws
63%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Arezzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cremonese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cremonese have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 14%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Cremonese
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2020 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Arezzo
4:0
Feb 26, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Arezzo vs Cremonese
0:1
Oct 9, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Arezzo
3:2
Apr 11, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Arezzo vs Cremonese
0:1
Nov 29, 2014 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Arezzo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 10 / 100
Cremonese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arezzo scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cremonese conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Arezzo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Cremonese
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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Cremonese

(Away)
02 Oct
Juventus
0 : 1
Cremonese
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)