Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Magnaghi S.
30'
30'
Welbeck N.
38'
38'
Eklu S. M.
AI Match Summary
Arezzo in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arezzo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucchese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Lucchese at 1.76 per game, Arezzo at 1.52.
- Win probability leans Lucchese's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arezzo | Lucchese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Lucchese
4:1
Dec 9, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Arezzo
0:1
Apr 8, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Arezzo
1:1
Dec 2, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Lucchese
1:1
Oct 3, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie C
Arezzo vs Lucchese
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arezzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pattarello E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Eklu S. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lucchese Compare
Top Goalscorer Magnaghi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arezzo 10 / 100
Lucchese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arezzo Lucchese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lucchese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arezzo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Lucchese let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Arezzo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arezzo VS Lucchese
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arezzo
(Home) 27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0 Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4 Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1 Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0 Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3 Palermo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4 Sudtirol
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3 Palermo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3 AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Lucchese
(Away) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
10 May
Sestri Levante
2 : 1 Lucchese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
