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Arezzo vs Matelica

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2020/2021
Arezzo Logo

Arezzo

2 - 0
FT
Matelica Logo

Matelica

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Altobelli D.
17'
Pinna P.
35'
Perez L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 game between Arezzo and Matelica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Arezzo
30%
Draws
43%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arezzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 20%
Matelica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Matelica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Matelica
2:0
Oct 25, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Arezzo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Altobelli D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iacoponi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Matelica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 32 / 100
Matelica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arezzo scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Matelica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arezzo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 7

Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia 38 23 10 5 67:30 79
2 Padova 38 24 7 7 68:26 79
3 Sudtirol 38 21 12 5 66:29 75
4 Modena 38 21 7 10 51:28 70
5 FeralpiSalo 38 17 9 12 54:46 60
6 Triestina 38 15 14 9 48:40 59
7 Cesena 38 15 12 11 51:42 57
8 Matelica 38 16 8 14 59:62 56
9 Sambenedettese 38 14 12 12 43:43 50
10 Mantova 38 12 13 13 47:49 49
11 Virtus Verona 38 11 16 11 43:44 49
12 Gubbio 38 12 12 14 40:45 48
13 Fermana 38 9 15 14 31:44 42
14 Vis Pesaro 38 11 8 19 41:57 41
15 Carpi 38 10 11 17 45:62 41
16 Legnago Salus 38 8 14 16 35:47 38
17 Imolese 38 9 8 21 34:55 35
18 Fano 38 5 18 15 32:47 33
19 Ravenna 38 6 12 20 32:62 30
20 Arezzo 38 5 14 19 37:66 29
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)