Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Montevago D.
19'
19'
Ladinetti R.
37'
37'
Montevago D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Arezzo and Perugia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arezzo come out ahead of Perugia on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 18%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arezzo | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Perugia
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Arezzo
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Perugia
2:0
Nov 27, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Perugia vs Arezzo
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Arezzo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arezzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernelli C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Montevago D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arezzo 36 / 100
Perugia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arezzo Perugia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perugia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Perugia conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Arezzo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Perugia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arezzo VS Perugia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arezzo
(Home) 27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0 Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4 Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1 Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0 Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3 Palermo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4 Sudtirol
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3 Palermo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3 AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Perugia
(Away) 27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
