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Arezzo vs Sassari Torres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Zambataro E. In: Liviero M.
Out: Zambataro E.
37'
Zecca G.
39' Event
Tavernelli C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Arezzo and Sassari Torres finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Arezzo
30%
Draws
52%
Sassari Torres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sassari Torres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassari Torres's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Arezzo have produced (1.43).
  • Win probability leans Sassari Torres's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 13%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Sassari Torres
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Sassari Torres
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Arezzo
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Arezzo vs Sassari Torres
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Sassari Torres
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Arezzo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavernelli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sassari Torres Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Stefano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 10 / 100
Sassari Torres 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Sassari Torres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassari Torres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Sassari Torres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Arezzo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Sassari Torres
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Sassari Torres

(Away)
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)