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Arezzo W vs Freedom W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arezzo W
20%
Draws
57%
Freedom W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freedom W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Arezzo W haven't matched Freedom W's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Freedom W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arezzo W Clean Sheet 10%
Freedom W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo W Freedom W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs Freedom W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Arezzo W
2:0
May 4, 2025 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Arezzo W
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs Freedom W
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs Freedom W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo W 10 / 100
Freedom W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo W Freedom W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freedom W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Freedom W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arezzo W scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arezzo W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo W VS Freedom W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo W

(Home)
04 Oct
Lumezzane W
3 : 1
Arezzo W
26 Sept
Arezzo W
1 : 1
Catania W
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
13 Sept
Vicenza W
3 : 1
Arezzo W
05 Sept
Arezzo W
1 : 0
San Marino Academy W
Page 1 of 7

Freedom W

(Away)
17 May
Trastevere Calcio W
0 : 2
Freedom W
10 May
Freedom W
2 : 1
RES Roma W
03 May
San Marino Academy W
3 : 0
Freedom W
26 Apr
Freedom W
5 : 1
Brescia W
04 Apr
Bologna W
2 : 2
Freedom W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 1907 W 26 22 3 1 72:20 69
2 Lumezzane W 26 18 4 4 52:24 58
3 Cesena W 26 17 2 7 63:33 53
4 Bologna W 26 13 4 9 50:38 43
5 Freedom W 26 11 9 6 50:43 42
6 RES Roma W 26 12 6 8 52:43 42
7 Frosinone W 26 9 6 11 36:43 33
8 Vicenza W 26 9 6 11 33:36 33
9 Brescia W 26 9 5 12 37:43 32
10 Arezzo W 26 8 5 13 29:43 29
11 San Marino Academy W 26 8 4 14 35:54 28
12 Hellas Verona W 26 4 7 15 28:48 19
13 Venezia W 26 4 4 18 30:71 16
14 Trastevere Calcio W 26 3 5 18 22:50 14
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