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Arezzo W vs San Marino Academy W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arezzo W play San Marino Academy W in the Serie B Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arezzo W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. San Marino Academy W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Arezzo W won 2, San Marino Academy W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Arezzo W and 1.25 for San Marino Academy W. This points to a Arezzo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Arezzo W
21%
Draws
38%
San Marino Academy W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Arezzo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Arezzo W picked up more points recently compared to San Marino Academy W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Arezzo W Clean Sheet 19%
San Marino Academy W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo W San Marino Academy W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Arezzo W
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs San Marino Academy W
0:1
May 11, 2025 Serie B Women
Arezzo W vs San Marino Academy W
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Arezzo W
2:4
Mar 17, 2024 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Arezzo W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo W 41 / 100
San Marino Academy W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo W San Marino Academy W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arezzo W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arezzo W attacking → ← attacking San Marino Academy W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

San Marino Academy W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Arezzo W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Marino Academy W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Como 1907 W26223172:2069
2Lumezzane W26184452:2458
3Cesena W26172763:3353
4Bologna W26134950:3843
5Freedom W26119650:4342
6RES Roma W26126852:4342
7Frosinone W26961136:4333
8Vicenza W26961133:3633
9Brescia W26951237:4332
10Arezzo W26851329:4329
11San Marino Academy W26841435:5428
12Hellas Verona W26471528:4819
13Venezia W26441830:7116
14Trastevere Calcio W26351822:5014