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Argentina vs Bolivia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Martinez L.
Assist: Mac Allister A.
29' Event
Paz N.
Assist: Palacios E.
43'
Sub
Arroyo D. In: Viviani L.
Out: Arroyo D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Argentina and Bolivia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Argentina
15%
Draws
0%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Argentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Argentina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Argentina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Argentina here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Argentina Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina Bolivia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 24 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.64 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.65 0.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Argentina vs Bolivia
4:0
Oct 16, 2024 World Championship
Argentina vs Bolivia
6:0
Sep 12, 2023 World Championship
Bolivia vs Argentina
0:3
Sep 9, 2021 World Championship
Argentina vs Bolivia
3:0
Jun 29, 2021 Copa América
Bolivia vs Argentina
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paz N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.32

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina 95 / 100
Bolivia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina Bolivia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Argentina scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bolivia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bolivia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Argentina VS Bolivia
2.63 Goals Scored 0.17
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina

(Home)
06 Oct
Argentina
3 : 0
Benin
04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0
Burkina Faso
01 Oct
Argentina
4 : 0
Bolivia
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
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Bolivia

(Away)
01 Oct
Argentina
4 : 0
Bolivia
27 Sept
Bolivia
0 : 2
Paraguay
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
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