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Argentina W vs Colombia W

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SheBelieves Cup Women ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Argentina W play Colombia W in the SheBelieves Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Argentina W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Colombia W averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Argentina W won 1, Colombia W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Argentina W and 1.31 for Colombia W. This points to a Argentina W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Argentina W
20%
Draws
38%
Colombia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Argentina W picked up more points recently compared to Colombia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 18%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina W Colombia W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 SheBelieves Cup Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:1
Jul 29, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Argentina W
1:2
Jul 26, 2022 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Argentina W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina W 41 / 100
Colombia W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina W Colombia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Argentina W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Argentina W attacking → ← attacking Colombia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentina W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Colombia W let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Argentina W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Colombia W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 53
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13