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Argentina W vs Colombia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Tue, Jul 29, 2025
0 - 1
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Arias D.
44'
Rodriguez Y.
49'
Caicedo L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Argentina W
20%
Draws
36%
Colombia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Colombia W at 1.73 per game, Argentina W at 1.32.
  • Argentina W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina W Colombia W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 SheBelieves Cup Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:1
Jul 29, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Colombia W
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Argentina W
1:2
Jul 26, 2022 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Argentina W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina W 42 / 100
Colombia W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina W Colombia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Argentina W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Argentina W scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Colombia W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Argentina W VS Colombia W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
Page 1 of 6

Colombia W

(Away)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Argentina W 0
Colombia W 1
Brazil W 5
Uruguay W 1
Final
Colombia W 4
Brazil W 5
Argentina W 3
Uruguay W 2