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Stadium Background

Argentina W vs Uruguay W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Argentina W Logo

Argentina W

Sat, Aug 2, 2025
3 - 2
12:00 AM
Uruguay W Logo

Uruguay W

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Gonzalez P.
24' Event
Cometti A.
Assist: Martin M. I.
35' Event
Pizarro E.
Assist: Viera J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Argentina W
30%
Draws
19%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Argentina W lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay W.
  • Win probability leans Argentina W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Argentina W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina W Uruguay W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Argentina W
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
3:2
Jul 15, 2025 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Argentina W
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
1:1
Jul 10, 2024 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cometti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizarro E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina W 77 / 100
Uruguay W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentina W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Argentina W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Uruguay W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Argentina W VS Uruguay W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Argentina W 0
Colombia W 1
Brazil W 5
Uruguay W 1
Final
Colombia W 4
Brazil W 5
Argentina W 3
Uruguay W 2