Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arguvan vs Ayvalikgucu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eratilla Y.
44' Event
Aksoy O.
45' Event
Yildirim T.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Arguvan and Ayvalikgucu finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arguvan
15%
Draws
65%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ayvalikgucu a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 19%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arguvan Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Ayvalikgucu
0:4
Oct 22, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Arguvan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arguvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Eratilla Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aksoy O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arguvan 10 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arguvan Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arguvan scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Ayvalikgucu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Arguvan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ayvalikgucu
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arguvan

(Home)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
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Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0
Eskisehirspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)