Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arguvan vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Birdal U.
49' Event
Yuksel M.
73' Event
Cengiz B.

AI Match Summary

Karabuk Idmanyurdu in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arguvan
6%
Draws
90%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karabuk Idmanyurdu have won more games recently than Arguvan.
  • Win probability leans Karabuk Idmanyurdu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 23%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arguvan Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Arguvan
2:5
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuksel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Birdal U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cengiz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arguvan 10 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arguvan Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Arguvan found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Karabuk Idmanyurdu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Arguvan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arguvan

(Home)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
18 Apr
Giresunspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
2 : 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
24 Mar
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kepez Bld.28224267:1870
2Aliaga28199060:1866
3Ayvalikgucu28157640:2552
452 Orduspor28147740:2849
5Inegol Kafkas28138737:3047
6Edirnespor Genclik281351045:2844
7Mardin 1969281251140:3441
8Kucukcekmece281081041:3138
9Karabuk Idmanyurdu281051327:4435
10Hopaspor28971233:2934
11Erciyes 38281041434:4534
12Kirikkale FK28851531:4229
13Gumushanespor284101425:4922
14Arguvan28342121:5713
15Tarsus28242220:8310
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)