Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021

Carsambaspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arhavispor play Carsambaspor in the 3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arhavispor averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Carsambaspor averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Arhavispor won 0, Carsambaspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Arhavispor and 0.99 for Carsambaspor. This points to a Carsambaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Arhavispor

27%

Draws

44%

Carsambaspor

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Carsambaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Arhavispor picked up more points recently compared to Carsambaspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Arhavispor Clean Sheet 23%

Carsambaspor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arhavispor	Carsambaspor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	8
Draws	8	9
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	0.67	1.06
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 3

Arhavispor vs Carsambaspor

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Oct 29, 2020 3. Lig Group 3

Carsambaspor vs Arhavispor

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arhavispor 31 / 100

Carsambaspor 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arhavispor Carsambaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Carsambaspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arhavispor attacking → ← attacking Carsambaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arhavispor scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Carsambaspor let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Arhavispor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Carsambaspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Soma Spor	32	20	9	3	64:30	69
2	Erokspor	32	19	7	6	59:27	64
3	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	32	14	10	8	42:32	52
4	Isparta 32 Spor	32	14	8	10	49:35	50
5	Catalca Spor	32	13	10	9	35:31	49
6	Carsambaspor	32	12	11	9	40:29	47
7	Karsiyaka	32	12	8	12	36:39	44
8	Hacettepe 1945	32	11	10	11	36:34	43
9	Sile Yildizspor	32	11	10	11	38:39	43
10	23 Elazig FK	32	9	14	9	37:39	41
11	Osmaniyespor	32	12	8	12	35:32	41
12	Erbaaspor	32	11	7	14	29:35	40
13	Batman Petrolspor	32	9	12	11	24:30	39
14	Cizrespor	32	6	14	12	30:55	32
15	Golcukspor	32	8	5	19	27:42	29
16	Arhavispor	32	6	9	17	23:49	27
17	Yalovaspor	32	4	10	18	26:52	22