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Arhavispor vs Erbaaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Cavus E.
42' Event
Tuncay A. B.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Aktas Y.

AI Match Summary

Erbaaspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erbaaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Arhavispor
33%
Draws
40%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbaaspor have won more games recently than Arhavispor.
  • Erbaaspor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Arhavispor Clean Sheet 26%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arhavispor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Arhavispor vs Erbaaspor
0:3
Dec 20, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Erbaaspor vs Arhavispor
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arhavispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavus E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aktas Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arhavispor 30 / 100
Erbaaspor 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arhavispor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Erbaaspor conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Erbaaspor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arhavispor scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arhavispor

(Home)
01 May
Golcukspor
5 : 2
Arhavispor
25 Apr
Arhavispor
1 : 2
Erokspor
21 Apr
Isparta 32 Spor
4 : 0
Arhavispor
14 Apr
Arhavispor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
08 Apr
Osmaniyespor
0 : 0
Arhavispor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
19 Apr
Erbaaspor
1 : 1
Ankaragucu
12 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 0
Erbaaspor
08 Apr
Erbaaspor
0 : 2
Adana 01
04 Apr
24Erzincanspor
3 : 2
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Soma Spor32209364:3069
2Erokspor32197659:2764
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu321410842:3252
4Isparta 32 Spor321481049:3550
5Catalca Spor321310935:3149
6Carsambaspor321211940:2947
7Karsiyaka321281236:3944
8Hacettepe 19453211101136:3443
9Sile Yildizspor3211101138:3943
1023 Elazig FK32914937:3941
11Osmaniyespor321281235:3241
12Erbaaspor321171429:3540
13Batman Petrolspor329121124:3039
14Cizrespor326141230:5532
15Golcukspor32851927:4229
16Arhavispor32691723:4927
17Yalovaspor324101826:5222
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)