Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026
Ariesul Turda Logo

Ariesul Turda

1 - 2
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Baia Mare Logo

Baia Mare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baia Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ariesul Turda
15%
Draws
85%
Baia Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Baia Mare have won more games recently than Ariesul Turda.
  • Model gives Baia Mare a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ariesul Turda Clean Sheet 10%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ariesul Turda Baia Mare
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
1:2
Mar 7, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
6:0
Aug 23, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
2:1
Apr 26, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariesul Turda 10 / 100
Baia Mare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ariesul Turda Baia Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Baia Mare conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Ariesul Turda scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Baia Mare lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ariesul Turda VS Baia Mare
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ariesul Turda

(Home)
28 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Unirea Tasnad
21 Mar
Bihorul Beius
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
14 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Sighetu Marmatiei
06 Mar
Unirea Dej
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
28 Feb
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Viitorul Cluj
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Baia Mare

(Away)
12 Sept
Crisul Santandrei
1 : 0
Baia Mare
05 Sept
Baia Mare
3 : 1
Academica Recea
29 Aug
Sighetu Marmatiei
1 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Aug
Baia Mare
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
12 Aug
Baia Mare
5 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 22 15 2 5 46:27 47
2 Unirea Tasnad 22 14 4 4 54:23 46
3 Sanatatea Cluj 22 13 7 2 36:13 46
4 SCM Zalau 22 13 5 4 36:18 44
5 Crisul Santandrei 22 12 5 5 39:25 41
6 Sighetu Marmatiei 22 10 7 5 36:22 37
7 Baile Felix 22 8 7 7 32:26 31
8 Viitorul Cluj 22 5 6 11 22:26 21
9 Unirea Dej 22 5 3 14 25:35 18
10 Bihorul Beius 22 4 6 12 22:39 18
11 Olimpia Satu Mare 22 5 2 15 21:64 17
12 Ariesul Turda 22 0 2 20 11:62 2
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)