Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2023/2024

Esteghlal Molasani

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ario Eslamshahr play Esteghlal Molasani in the Division 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.48 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ario Eslamshahr won 0, Esteghlal Molasani won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Ario Eslamshahr and 0.81 for Esteghlal Molasani. This points to a Esteghlal Molasani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Ario Eslamshahr

35%

Draws

36%

Esteghlal Molasani

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal Molasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Ario Eslamshahr picked up more points recently compared to Esteghlal Molasani.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 41%

Over 2.5 Goals 13%

Over 3.5 Goals 8%

Over 4.5 Goals 4%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 26%

Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 37%

Second Half Goal 39%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ario Eslamshahr	Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	15	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.48	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.48	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Esteghlal Molasani

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Dec 18, 2023 Azadegan League

Esteghlal Molasani vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 31 / 100

Esteghlal Molasani 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ario Eslamshahr Esteghlal Molasani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esteghlal Molasani or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +85.8%

14.29

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ario Eslamshahr attacking → ← attacking Esteghlal Molasani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Esteghlal Molasani let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Ario Eslamshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal Molasani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kheybar Khorramabad	34	25	2	7	59:25	77
2	Fajr Sepasi	34	22	7	5	50:17	73
3	Chadormalu	34	22	7	5	47:20	73
4	Naft Masjed-Soleyman	34	16	13	5	47:29	58
5	Saipa	34	13	11	10	35:28	50
6	Mes Kerman	34	11	15	8	28:24	48
7	Ario Eslamshahr	34	11	13	10	28:28	46
8	Mes Shahr Babak	34	11	11	12	32:26	44
9	Naft Gachsaran	34	10	13	11	35:26	43
10	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	11	10	13	27:34	43
11	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	11	10	13	33:42	43
12	Esteghlal Molasani	34	10	13	11	26:33	38
13	Shahre Raz	34	8	12	14	25:34	36
14	Shahrdari Astara	34	9	6	19	22:44	33
15	Damash Gilan	34	7	11	16	32:45	32
16	Darya Babol	34	6	13	15	30:41	31
17	Shahin Bandar Ameri	34	4	9	8	21:51	27
18	Khoosheh Talai	34	6	6	22	17:47	24