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Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Kerman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Ario Eslamshahr and Mes Kerman finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ario Eslamshahr
30%
Draws
28%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ario Eslamshahr come out ahead of Mes Kerman on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Mes Kerman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 15
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.66 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Kerman
0:0
Oct 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
May 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Kerman
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Mar 27, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 32 / 100
Mes Kerman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ario Eslamshahr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ario Eslamshahr scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mes Kerman conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Mes Kerman
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
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Mes Kerman

(Away)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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