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Aris Avatou vs Aetos Varvaras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Aris Avatou and Aetos Varvaras finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Avatou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aris Avatou
15%
Draws
0%
Aetos Varvaras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Avatou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aris Avatou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aris Avatou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aris Avatou Clean Sheet 20%
Aetos Varvaras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Avatou Aetos Varvaras
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.44 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Avatou vs Aetos Varvaras
4:1
Oct 7, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Varvaras vs Aris Avatou
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Avatou 85 / 100
Aetos Varvaras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Avatou Aetos Varvaras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Avatou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Varvaras has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Aetos Varvaras registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Aris Avatou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Avatou VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Avatou

(Home)
27 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 2
Aris Avatou
16 Apr
Aris Avatou
4 : 0
Orestis Orestiadas
12 Apr
Aris Pigon
1 : 0
Aris Avatou
06 Apr
Moudania
0 : 3
Aris Avatou
30 Mar
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 7

Aetos Varvaras

(Away)
28 Apr
Doxa Dramas
5 : 1
Aetos Varvaras
24 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
1 : 4
Poseidonas Michanionas
20 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
0 : 5
Panthrakikos
14 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
2 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
07 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
2 : 3
Orestis Orestiadas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kavala 34 32 1 1 89:11 97
2 Chrisoupolis 34 25 6 3 75:19 81
3 Panthrakikos 34 23 8 3 69:18 77
4 Chaniotis 34 16 9 9 49:33 57
5 Aris Avatou 34 15 10 9 48:33 55
6 Thermaikos FC 34 16 7 11 42:35 55
7 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 17 4 13 55:29 55
8 PAOK Kristonis 34 16 6 12 43:41 54
9 Orestis Orestiadas 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
10 Apollon Paralimniou 34 14 10 10 54:37 52
11 Niki Efkarpias 34 13 10 11 49:40 49
12 Doxa Dramas 34 12 8 14 56:40 44
13 Veria 34 8 8 18 28:55 32
14 Aris Petinos 34 6 5 23 24:67 23
15 Aetos Varvaras 34 6 4 24 26:92 22
16 Epanomi 34 3 10 21 18:66 19
17 M. Alexandros Agia Marina 34 2 8 24 18:65 14
18 Keravnos Anchelochori 34 4 3 27 17:82 0
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)