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Aris Filiaton vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Aris Filiaton and Asteras Stavrou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Filiaton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aris Filiaton
20%
Draws
10%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Aris Filiaton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aris Filiaton a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aris Filiaton have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Filiaton Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aris Filiaton vs Asteras Stavrou
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aris Filiaton vs Asteras Stavrou
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Aris Filiaton
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Filiaton 95 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Filiaton Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Filiaton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Filiaton scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Asteras Stavrou conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Aris Filiaton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris Filiaton VS Asteras Stavrou
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Filiaton

(Home)
04 Oct
Aris Filiaton
1 : 2
Panegialios FC
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
04 Oct
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 1
Diagoras Agias
27 Sept
Kifissos
3 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)