Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aris Filiaton host Asteras Stavrou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aris Filiaton have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Asteras Stavrou's 0.75 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Aris Filiaton have won 2 to Asteras Stavrou's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.75) point toward Aris Filiaton. Aris Filiaton in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Aris Filiaton

17%

Draws

13%

Asteras Stavrou

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Aris Filiaton has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Asteras Stavrou.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Aris Filiaton.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 68%

Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aris Filiaton	Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	9	9
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.38	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Aris Filiaton vs Asteras Stavrou

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Aris Filiaton vs Asteras Stavrou

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 8, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Asteras Stavrou vs Aris Filiaton

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Filiaton 77 / 100

Asteras Stavrou 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aris Filiaton Asteras Stavrou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Filiaton scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Asteras Stavrou let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Aris Filiaton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Asteras Stavrou lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Filiaton VS Asteras Stavrou

1.38 Goals Scored 0.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elassona	24	11	10	3	31:19	43
2	Aris Filiaton	24	12	7	5	33:19	43
3	AO Trikala	24	11	10	3	35:18	43
4	Asteras Stavrou	24	11	7	6	36:28	40
5	Lamia	24	9	12	3	36:17	39
6	Tilikratis Lefkada	24	9	8	7	25:22	35
7	Anagennisi Arta	24	9	8	7	26:21	35
8	Lefkimmi	24	10	3	11	31:31	33
9	Anagennisi Schimatariou	24	9	5	10	25:24	32
10	Anthoupoli	24	7	6	11	21:29	27
11	Nea Selefkia	24	5	11	8	25:27	26
12	Proodos Rogon	23	4	6	13	30:40	18
13	Thesprotos	23	1	1	21	6:65	1