Sport Picks
Aris Filiaton vs Thesprotos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Aris Filiaton host Thesprotos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026. Aris Filiaton go into this one as the clear favorite. Aris Filiaton have averaged 1.27 scored and 0.8 conceded recently, against Thesprotos's 0.43 scored and 2.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Aris Filiaton have won 2 to Thesprotos's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 0.81) point toward Aris Filiaton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Aris Filiaton lately — more wins on the board than Thesprotos.
- Model gives Aris Filiaton a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aris Filiaton | Thesprotos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thesprotos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Thesprotos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Aris Filiaton's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Aris Filiaton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aris Filiaton
(Home)Thesprotos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elassona | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 31:19 | 43 |
| 2 | Aris Filiaton | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:19 | 43 |
| 3 | AO Trikala | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 35:18 | 43 |
| 4 | Asteras Stavrou | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:28 | 40 |
| 5 | Lamia | 24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 6 | Tilikratis Lefkada | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 35 |
| 7 | Anagennisi Arta | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:21 | 35 |
| 8 | Lefkimmi | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 31:31 | 33 |
| 9 | Anagennisi Schimatariou | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 25:24 | 32 |
| 10 | Anthoupoli | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:29 | 27 |
| 11 | Nea Selefkia | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 25:27 | 26 |
| 12 | Proodos Rogon | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 30:40 | 18 |
| 13 | Thesprotos | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6:65 | 1 |
