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Aris Limassol vs Achnas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Cyprus Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aris Limassol have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Achnas's 1.18 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Aris Limassol slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Aris Limassol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aris Limassol
15%
Draws
48%
Achnas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Achnas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Achnas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Achnas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris Limassol, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aris Limassol here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 13%
Achnas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Achnas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Aris Limassol
0:3
Sep 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Achnas
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Achnas
6:1
Oct 20, 2024 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Aris Limassol
1:2
Jan 28, 2024 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Aris Limassol
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 31 / 100
Achnas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Achnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achnas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Achnas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Aris Limassol's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aris Limassol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Achnas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
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Achnas

(Away)
19 Sept
Achnas
3 : 0
Polemidion
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2
Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AEK Larnaca -
Akritas Chloraka -
Omonia 29th May -
Polemidion -
Doxa -
Ol. Nicosia -
Kitiou -
Krasava -
Aris Limassol -
Achnas -
Omonia Aradippou -
Digenis Akritas -
AEL Limassol -
Iraklis Yerolakkou -
Nea Salamis -
Apea Akrotiriou -
Karmiotissa -
Ermis -
APOEL -
Halkanoras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -