Sport Picks
Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
Cyprus
Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between Aris Limassol and AEK Larnaca finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK Larnaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AEK Larnaca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives AEK Larnaca a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aris Limassol Compare
AEK Larnaca Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Aris Limassol found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: AEK Larnaca conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Aris Limassol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aris Limassol
(Home)AEK Larnaca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88:24 | 87 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62:33 | 69 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52:41 | 67 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66:38 | 62 |
| 5 | APOEL | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61:45 | 51 |
