Sport Picks

Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium

Aris Limassol

1 - 0

APOEL

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Balogun L. In: Fi Akamba C.

Out: Balogun L.

51'

Dalcio

55'

Kastanos G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aris Limassol

39%

Draws

31%

APOEL

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

APOEL have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
APOEL have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 16%

APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aris Limassol	APOEL
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Cyprus League

Aris Limassol vs APOEL

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Apr 5, 2026 Cyprus League

APOEL vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Mar 15, 2026 Cyprus League

Aris Limassol vs APOEL

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Dec 7, 2025 Cyprus League

APOEL vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Apr 22, 2025 Cyprus League

APOEL vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastanos G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 30 / 100

APOEL 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aris Limassol APOEL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aris Limassol scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

APOEL let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: APOEL registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS APOEL

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Omonia	36	27	6	3	88:24	87
2	AEK Larnaca	36	20	9	7	62:33	69
3	Apollon Limassol	36	20	7	9	52:41	67
4	Pafos	36	18	8	10	66:38	62
5	APOEL	36	15	7	14	53:45	52
6	Aris Limassol	36	14	9	13	61:45	51