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Aris Limassol vs Omonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
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Match Events

5' Event
Diony L.
9'
Effaghe R.
19'
Sarfo A.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Aris Limassol and Omonia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris Limassol
20%
Draws
47%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Omonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Omonia taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 17%
Omonia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Omonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
1:4
May 2, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Aris Limassol
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
3:5
Oct 5, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Aris Limassol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Effaghe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diony L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Satka L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 28 / 100
Omonia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aris Limassol scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Aris Limassol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Omonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Omonia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
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Omonia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)