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Aris Petroupolis vs Agios Ierotheos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023 game between Aris Petroupolis and Agios Ierotheos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aris Petroupolis
15%
Draws
0%
Agios Ierotheos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aris Petroupolis come out ahead of Agios Ierotheos on wins alone.
  • Aris Petroupolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
Agios Ierotheos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Agios Ierotheos
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 28 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.53 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.67 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Agios Ierotheos
3:1
Dec 17, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Agios Ierotheos vs Aris Petroupolis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 85 / 100
Agios Ierotheos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Agios Ierotheos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agios Ierotheos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Agios Ierotheos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aris Petroupolis's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 9

Agios Ierotheos

(Away)
30 Apr
Thyella Diastavroseos
7 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
23 Apr
Agios Ierotheos
0 : 4
Keratsini
12 Apr
Giouchtas
3 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
08 Apr
Agios Ierotheos
1 : 5
Poros
02 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giouchtas 26 13 11 2 38:18 50
2 Marko 26 12 10 4 31:11 46
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 26 13 3 10 39:27 42
4 Fostiras 26 10 10 6 38:20 40
5 Ethnikos Piraeus 26 9 13 4 25:14 40
6 Paraskevi 26 8 13 5 29:22 37
7 Almyros Gaziou 26 10 7 9 38:30 37
8 Agios Nikolaos 26 9 10 7 33:26 37
9 Aris Petroupolis 26 9 10 7 32:24 37
10 Keratsini 26 8 12 6 31:20 36
11 AE Moschato 26 10 3 13 30:42 33
12 Poros 26 8 8 10 29:32 29
13 AO Tympakiou 26 4 5 17 24:49 17
14 Agios Ierotheos 26 0 3 23 11:93 3
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)