Sport Picks
Aris Petroupolis vs E. Asteras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Aris Petroupolis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Petroupolis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aris Petroupolis lately — more wins on the board than E. Asteras.
- Aris Petroupolis are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aris Petroupolis have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
E. Asteras Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aris Petroupolis | E. Asteras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.55 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
E. Asteras vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs E. Asteras
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
E. Asteras vs Aris Petroupolis
1:1
Feb 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs E. Asteras
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
E. Asteras vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aris Petroupolis 42 / 100
E. Asteras 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aris Petroupolis E. Asteras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aris Petroupolis scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
E. Asteras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Aris Petroupolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aris Petroupolis VS E. Asteras
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aris Petroupolis
(Home) 17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2 Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1 Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0 Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0 Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0 Zakynthos
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2 Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0 Ethnikos Piraeus
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0 Zakynthos
05 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
4 : 2 Afantou
22 Mar
Aris Petroupolis
2 : 0 AO Karystou
Page 1 of 3
E. Asteras
(Away) 04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0 E. Asteras
27 Sept
E. Asteras
2 : 3 Pannaxiakos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1 E. Asteras
05 Apr
E. Asteras
4 : 1 Diagoras FC
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0 E. Asteras
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0 E. Asteras
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1 E. Asteras
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0 E. Asteras
22 Mar
Nea Artaki
1 : 0 E. Asteras
01 Mar
Apollon Kalythion
2 : 1 E. Asteras
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aris Petroupolis | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 36:11 | 51 |
| 2 | Nea Artaki | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 26:8 | 47 |
| 3 | Diagoras FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 4 | AO Karystou | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 5 | Afantou | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:24 | 32 |
| 6 | E. Asteras | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32:26 | 32 |
| 7 | Nea Ionia | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 23:23 | 31 |
| 8 | Doxa Vyronas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:21 | 31 |
| 9 | Apollon Kalythion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 10 | Kentavros Vrilission | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Amarynthiakos | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 20:36 | 14 |
| 12 | Rodos | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)
