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Aris Petroupolis vs Atromitos Piraeus

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Aris Petroupolis and Atromitos Piraeus finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aris Petroupolis
15%
Draws
0%
Atromitos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aris Petroupolis come out ahead of Atromitos Piraeus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aris Petroupolis a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
Atromitos Piraeus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Atromitos Piraeus
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 27 3
Draws 10 1
Losses 5 26
Goals Scored 1.45 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.62 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Atromitos Piraeus
4:2
Nov 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atromitos Piraeus vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 85 / 100
Atromitos Piraeus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Atromitos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos Piraeus has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Atromitos Piraeus lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aris Petroupolis scored in 74% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 9

Atromitos Piraeus

(Away)
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 4
Chaidari
20 Apr
Panionios
4 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
14 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 2
Atsalenios FC
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)