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Aris Petroupolis vs Ipato Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Aris Petroupolis and Ipato finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris Petroupolis
20%
Draws
47%
Ipato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ipato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aris Petroupolis are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
Ipato Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Ipato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ipato vs Aris Petroupolis
2:1
Dec 20, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Ipato
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 36 / 100
Ipato 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Ipato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Petroupolis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ipato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aris Petroupolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 7

Ipato

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ipato
2 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
20 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
0 : 1
Ipato
14 Apr
Ipato
4 : 0
Paraskevi
07 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
3 : 0
Ipato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)