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Aris Pigon vs Aris Avatou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Aris Pigon and Aris Avatou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Pigon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aris Pigon
20%
Draws
40%
Aris Avatou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Avatou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aris Avatou's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Aris Pigon Clean Sheet 14%
Aris Avatou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Pigon Aris Avatou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Pigon vs Aris Avatou
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Avatou vs Aris Pigon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Pigon 11 / 100
Aris Avatou 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Pigon Aris Avatou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Avatou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aris Avatou conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Aris Pigon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aris Pigon scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris Pigon VS Aris Avatou
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Pigon

(Home)
27 Apr
Poseidonas Michanionas
4 : 0
Aris Pigon
16 Apr
Aris Pigon
3 : 1
Nea Amisou
12 Apr
Aris Pigon
1 : 0
Aris Avatou
06 Apr
Iraklis Ammoudias
2 : 0
Aris Pigon
30 Mar
Aris Pigon
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

Aris Avatou

(Away)
27 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 2
Aris Avatou
16 Apr
Aris Avatou
4 : 0
Orestis Orestiadas
12 Apr
Aris Pigon
1 : 0
Aris Avatou
06 Apr
Moudania
0 : 3
Aris Avatou
30 Mar
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chrisoupolis 34 28 4 2 79:15 88
2 Panthrakikos 34 28 5 1 78:17 86
3 Apollon Kalamaria 34 24 2 8 60:19 74
4 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 20 6 8 77:38 66
5 PAOK Kristonis 34 19 5 10 54:32 62
6 Krya Vrysi 34 15 9 10 49:36 54
7 Iraklis Ammoudias 34 14 9 11 44:32 51
8 Evosmou 34 13 10 11 49:42 49
9 Kilkisiakos 34 11 14 9 42:42 47
10 Thermaikos FC 34 14 7 13 41:34 46
11 Orestis Orestiadas 34 12 8 14 30:39 44
12 Apollon Paralimniou 34 11 9 14 30:37 42
13 Alexandroupoli FC 34 11 6 17 40:39 39
14 Aris Avatou 34 9 6 19 40:49 33
15 Aris Pigon 34 8 5 21 24:68 29
16 Nea Amisou 34 5 4 25 29:76 19
17 Chaniotis 33 5 6 22 18:65 12
18 Moudania 33 0 1 32 7:111 -8
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