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Aris vs OFI Crete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
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Match Events

3' Event
Garcia M.
Assist: Racic U.
12'
Bouchalakis A.
19'
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aris
15%
Draws
45%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OFI Crete lately — more wins on the board than Aris.
  • Win probability leans Aris's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aris Clean Sheet 18%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris OFI Crete
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
2:1
May 10, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
3:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodro K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 40 / 100
OFI Crete 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aris scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Aris remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

OFI Crete let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS OFI Crete
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
07 Nov
Aris
3 : 0
Panetolikos
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
Page 1 of 6

OFI Crete

(Away)
08 Nov
OFI Crete
0 : 0
Atromitos
05 Nov
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 2
OFI Crete
01 Nov
Panetolikos
0 : 1
OFI Crete
28 Oct
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
OFI Crete
25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1
PAOK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 10 9 0 1 22:5 27
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 AEK 9 6 2 1 23:6 20
4 PAOK 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
5 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
6 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 10 3 3 4 15:19 12
9 Iraklis FC 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 10 1 4 5 9:18 7
12 Atromitos 9 1 3 5 9:12 6
13 Levadiakos 10 1 3 6 4:13 6
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)