Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Garre B.
Assist: Kouame C.
42' Event
Kouame C.
Assist: Dudu
46'
Sub
Lampropoulos V. In: Kostoulas K.
Out: Lampropoulos V.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aris
6%
Draws
4%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • OFI Crete have won more games recently than Aris.
  • Win probability leans Aris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 20%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris OFI Crete
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 12 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
3:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
3:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garre B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 85 / 100
OFI Crete 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aris's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: OFI Crete conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS OFI Crete
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Volos
1 : 2
Aris
10 May
Aris
3 : 1
OFI Crete
03 May
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Aris
18 Apr
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
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OFI Crete

(Away)
17 May
OFI Crete
3 : 1
Volos
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2
OFI Crete
10 May
Aris
3 : 1
OFI Crete
03 May
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Aris
25 Apr
PAOK
2 : 3
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
5Aris321113834:3231
6Levadiakos321571063:4731
7OFI Crete321231743:5523
8Volos32951833:5517
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)