Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Aris Logo

Aris

3 - 1
FT
OFI Crete Logo

OFI Crete

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Garre B.
Assist: Kouame C.
42' Event
Kouame C.
Assist: Dudu
46'
Sub
Lampropoulos V. In: Kostoulas K.
Out: Lampropoulos V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aris
20%
Draws
52%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • OFI Crete have won more games recently than Aris.
  • Win probability leans OFI Crete's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris OFI Crete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
2:1
May 10, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
3:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Aris vs OFI Crete
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Aris
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garre B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 10 / 100
OFI Crete 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFI Crete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aris remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: OFI Crete conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS OFI Crete
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1
OFI Crete
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OFI Crete

(Away)
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Aris 32 11 13 8 34:32 31
6 Levadiakos 32 15 7 10 63:47 31
7 OFI Crete 32 12 3 17 43:55 23
8 Volos 32 9 5 18 33:55 17
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)