Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Monchu
16' Event
Despodov K.
Penalty Missed
47' Event
Dudu

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aris
30%
Draws
47%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAOK come out ahead of Aris on wins alone.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • PAOK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%
PAOK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris PAOK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Aris
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Aris vs PAOK
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Aris
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
Aris vs PAOK
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Aris vs PAOK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Giakoumakis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 10 / 100
PAOK 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

PAOK has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aris stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS PAOK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 4 0 0 18:3 12
2 Levadiakos 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 AEK 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
4 Panathinaikos 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
5 Aris 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
6 OFI Crete 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
7 Volos 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
8 PAOK 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
9 Atromitos 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Kifisia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
12 Panetolikos 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Iraklis FC 4 1 1 2 2:9 4
14 Athens Kallithea 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
15 Ellas Syrou 4 1 0 3 8:13 3
16 AEL Larissa 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Kavala 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Marko 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
19 Ilioupoli 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
20 PAE Egaleo 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)