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Arizona United vs Portland Timbers 2

USA USA

USL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cascio T.
59' Event
Williams A.
90' Event
Brett N.

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 in this USL 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Arizona United
17%
Draws
70%
Portland Timbers 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portland Timbers 2 lately — more wins on the board than Arizona United.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers 2 taking it.
  • Regular USL 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portland Timbers 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Arizona United Clean Sheet 19%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arizona United Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 USL Championship
Portland Timbers 2 vs Arizona United
3:2
Sep 14, 2016 USL Championship
Arizona United vs Portland Timbers 2
1:2
May 1, 2016 USL Championship
Arizona United vs Portland Timbers 2
1:1
Jul 3, 2015 USL Championship
Portland Timbers 2 vs Arizona United
3:1
Apr 26, 2015 USL Championship
Arizona United vs Portland Timbers 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arizona United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cascio T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brett N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arizona United 16 / 100
Portland Timbers 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arizona United Portland Timbers 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arizona United's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Portland Timbers 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Arizona United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portland Timbers 2
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arizona United

(Home)
25 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
3 : 2
Arizona United
18 Sept
Arizona United
3 : 2
Real Monarchs
14 Sept
Arizona United
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
04 Sept
San Antonio FC
1 : 1
Arizona United
01 Sept
Arizona United
1 : 2
Ventura County
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers 2

(Away)
18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
12 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
0 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes II
21 Jun
Colorado Rapids 2
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacramento Republic301410643:2752
2Rio Grande Valley FC Toros30149747:2451
3Colorado Springs30147937:2749
4Sporting Kansas City II301461045:3648
5Ventura County301211752:4247
6Vancouver Whitecaps 230129944:4445
7Oklahoma City Energy FC301013732:3043
8Orange County SC301241439:4140
9Portland Timbers 2301241438:4240
10San Antonio FC301081236:3638
11Real Monarchs301061431:4136
12Tacoma Defiance30981335:5035
13Arizona United30971440:4634
14St. Louis FC308101242:4434
15FC Tulsa30542125:6419
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II30216361:2169
2Louisville City30179452:2760
3FC Cincinnati30168641:2756
4Rochester New York301312538:2551
5Charlotte Independence30148848:2950
6Charleston30139838:3348
7Richmond Kickers30129933:2645
8Orlando City B30981335:4935
9Wilmington Hammerheads308101237:4734
10Penn Football Club30871537:5431
11Bethlehem Steel FC306101432:4328
12Toronto FC II30751836:5826
13Pittsburgh Riverhounds30671731:5025
14FC Montreal30722135:5723
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)