Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Michalski S.
4' Event
Olejarka D.
15' Event
Gutkovskis V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arka Gdynia and Ol. Grudziadz finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ol. Grudziadz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arka Gdynia
30%
Draws
41%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Arka Gdynia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 14%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arka Gdynia Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:4
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
5:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:2
Jan 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0
Nov 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arka Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Madej O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Olejarka D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Michalski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arka Gdynia 41 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arka Gdynia Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arka Gdynia scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ol. Grudziadz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Arka Gdynia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arka Gdynia VS Ol. Grudziadz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arka Gdynia

(Home)
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
02 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 4
Arka Gdynia
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
Polonia Bytom
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Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
29 Aug
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
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