Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Michalski S.
4' Event
Olejarka D.
15' Event
Gutkovskis V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arka Gdynia and Ol. Grudziadz finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ol. Grudziadz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arka Gdynia
6%
Draws
90%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ol. Grudziadz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 10%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arka Gdynia Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:4
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
5:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:2
Jan 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0
Nov 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arka Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Madej O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Olejarka D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Michalski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arka Gdynia 10 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arka Gdynia Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arka Gdynia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ol. Grudziadz has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Arka Gdynia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arka Gdynia VS Ol. Grudziadz
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arka Gdynia

(Home)
18 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 0
Luzino
11 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
03 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 0
Petrolul
28 Jun
GKS Katowice
2 : 0
Arka Gdynia
23 May
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
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Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
04 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
30 Jun
Ol. Grudziadz
4 : 1
Petrolul
02 Jun
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 2
Sandecja Nowy S.
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