Sport Picks
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia 
Match Events
23'
23'
Wolkowicz K.
24'
24'
Krzyzak O.
42'
42'
Milewski M.
Assist: Walus F.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Bytom haven't matched Arka Gdynia's recent run of results.
- Arka Gdynia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arka Gdynia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 19%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom
1:1
Nov 8, 2023 Polish Cup
Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia
1:3
Apr 24, 2013 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom
3:1
Sep 19, 2012 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia
0:1
May 20, 2012 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arka Gdynia Compare
Top Goalscorer Milewski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Zielinski L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arka Gdynia 49 / 100
Polonia Bytom 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arka Gdynia Polonia Bytom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arka Gdynia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Bytom has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
Arka Gdynia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Arka Gdynia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arka Gdynia VS Polonia Bytom
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arka Gdynia
(Home) 03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2 IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 LKS Lodz
02 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 4 Arka Gdynia
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03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2 IFK Goteborg
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 LKS Lodz
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
17 Aug
Arka Gdynia
3 : 0 Puszcza
01 Aug
Arka Gdynia
4 : 0 S. Rzeszow
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Polonia Bytom
(Away) 02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
