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Arlesey vs Paulton Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern Premier League 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern Premier League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arlesey
15%
Draws
85%
Paulton Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulton Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paulton Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Arlesey.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Arlesey Clean Sheet 10%
Paulton Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arlesey Paulton Rovers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 Southern Premier League
Arlesey vs Paulton Rovers
0:0
Dec 6, 2014 Southern Premier League
Paulton Rovers vs Arlesey
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arlesey 30 / 100
Paulton Rovers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arlesey Paulton Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paulton Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulton Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Paulton Rovers lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Arlesey scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arlesey VS Paulton Rovers
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arlesey

(Home)
30 Aug
Eynesbury Rovers
3 : 1
Arlesey
15 Jul
Arlesey
0 : 4
Hendon
04 Sept
Arlesey
0 : 5
Bowers & Pitsea
07 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Arlesey
28 Oct
Needham Market
3 : 1
Arlesey
Page 1 of 6

Paulton Rovers

(Away)
10 Jul
Paulton Rovers
1 : 2
Chippenham Town
31 Aug
Gloucester City
2 : 0
Paulton Rovers
16 Jul
Paulton Rovers
1 : 4
Chippenham Town
09 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
6 : 1
Paulton Rovers
01 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
6 : 1
Paulton Rovers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corby 44 29 7 8 86:47 94
2 Poole Town 44 28 7 9 84:35 91
3 Truro 44 27 5 12 83:58 86
4 Hungerford 44 22 13 9 64:36 79
5 Neots 44 20 16 8 82:58 76
6 Redditch 44 21 12 11 73:44 75
7 Weymouth 44 22 7 15 71:71 73
8 Cirencester 44 20 12 12 77:54 72
9 Hitchin 44 20 10 14 78:63 70
10 Paulton Rovers 44 18 10 16 65:62 64
11 Chippenham Town 44 16 13 15 54:54 61
12 Chesham 44 16 12 16 79:72 60
13 Cambridge City 44 14 15 15 71:62 57
14 Dunstable Town 44 16 9 19 71:78 57
15 Bideford 44 16 7 21 66:85 55
16 Slough Town 44 13 12 19 66:88 51
17 Dorchester 44 14 8 22 63:74 50
18 Histon 44 13 10 21 53:74 49
19 Biggleswade Town 44 11 12 21 57:75 45
20 Frome Town 44 10 11 23 49:80 41
21 Banbury 44 9 10 25 53:86 37
22 Arlesey 44 10 6 28 43:84 36
23 Burnham FC 44 5 8 31 41:89 20
Promotion - National League South 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)