Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arlesey vs Redbridge

England England

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FA Trophy 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arlesey
15%
Draws
85%
Redbridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Redbridge have won more games recently than Arlesey.
  • Redbridge are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Redbridge arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arlesey Clean Sheet 10%
Redbridge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arlesey Redbridge
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2015 FA Trophy
Redbridge vs Arlesey
2:0
Oct 3, 2015 FA Trophy
Arlesey vs Redbridge
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arlesey 10 / 100
Redbridge 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arlesey Redbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Redbridge has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arlesey found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Arlesey VS Redbridge
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arlesey

(Home)
30 Aug
Eynesbury Rovers
3 : 1
Arlesey
15 Jul
Arlesey
0 : 4
Hendon
04 Sept
Arlesey
0 : 5
Bowers & Pitsea
07 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Arlesey
28 Oct
Needham Market
3 : 1
Arlesey
Page 1 of 6

Redbridge

(Away)
29 Aug
Cambridge City
2 : 1
Redbridge
20 Jul
Redbridge
0 : 1
Welwyn Garden
11 Jul
Redbridge
0 : 3
Hornchurch
06 Sept
Redbridge
1 : 4
Waltham Abbey
30 Aug
Redbridge
1 : 2
Royston Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blyth Spartans -
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Scarborough Athletic 0
Kendal 4
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ashton United -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Histon -
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Stratford -
Evesham 3
Chasetown 2
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Redditch -
Goole -
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Glossop North End 3
Spennymoor 4
Buxton -
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Frickley -
Witton Albion 4
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale -
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Hyde -
Stafford 3
Tividale 1
Leek Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Daventry 2
Coalville Town 3
Mossley AFC 1
Harrogate Railway 0
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Darlington FC -
Nantwich -
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Salford -
Belper Town 1
Market Drayton 0
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King’s Lynn -
Shaw Lane 3
New Mills 0
Prescot Cables 0
Farsley 4
Gresley 2
Romulus 1
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Matlock -
Leamington -
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Barwell -
Mickleover -
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Rushall -
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 1
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Brighouse Town -
Grantham Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine -
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Trafford 1
Sheffield FC 4
Newcastle Town 5
Spalding United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Cambridge City -
Northwich Victoria 5
Lancaster 1
Clitheroe 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering -
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Rugby 2
St Ives Town 4
Colwyn Bay -
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Bamber Bridge 0
Burscough 2
Stourbridge -
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Halesowen -
Stamford -
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Soham 1
Carlton Town 3
Bideford -
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Farnborough -
Aylesbury Vale 3
Hythe 0
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Brentwood -
Neots -
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Bedworth United -
Hungerford -
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Yate 1
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 2
Folkestone 1
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Dunstable Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Hitchin -
Thurrock 2
Guernsey FC 0
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Chatham -
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury United 1
Hanwell Town 1
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Whyteleafe 0
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Tonbridge -
North Leigh 4
Bishops Cleeve 2
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Cirencester -
Enfield Town -
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Carshalton 0
Leighton Town 2
Ramsgate 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brightlingsea 2
Thamesmead 5
Tilbury 5
Barkingside 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Wingate & Finchley -
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Great Wakering 0
Royston Town 3
Leiston -
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Whitstable Town 2
Worthing FC 4
Redbridge 3
Arlesey 1
Three Bridges 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford -
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Potters 1
Northwood 2
Winchester City 3
Petersfield 1
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Weymouth -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Paulton Rovers -
Billericay -
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Chesham -
Taunton Town 4
Godalming Town 1
Burnham FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 3
Cray Wanderers 2
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Bognor Regis -
Molesey 5
Fleet Town 1
Bridgwater United 1
Didcot 3
Merstham -
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Ware 1
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd -
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Aveley 1
South Park 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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AFC Totton 0
Tiverton 2
Waltham Abbey 2
Dereham 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town -
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Grays -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Staines -
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VCD Athletic -
Frome Town -
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Slimbridge 0
Egham Town 1
Romford 3
North Greenford Utd. 2
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Slough Town -
Lewes -
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Hampton & Richmond -
Hendon -
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Barton 4
Sudbury 5
Dorchester -
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Chippenham Town -
Leatherhead -
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Kingstonian -
Marlow 5
Wantage 2
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 3
Bashley 1
Cinderford Town 0
Shortwood 3
Mangotsfield 4
Canvey Island -
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Needham Market -
Hornchurch -
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Metropolitan Police -
Hastings 3
Wroxham 2
Uxbridge 1
Chipstead 2
Poole Town -
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Merthyr Town -
Bury Town 1
Faversham 0
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Kings Langley -
Herne Bay 4
FC Witham Town 2
Sittingbourne 0
Walton Casuals 1
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Semi-finals
Blyth Spartans 4
Kendal 0
Workington 0
Whitby 3
Ashton United 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Histon 1
Stratford 4
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Goole 3
Spennymoor 6
Buxton 2
Frickley 1
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 4
Hyde 3
Stafford 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Coalville Town 0
Mossley AFC 2
Darlington FC 3
Nantwich 2
Salford 1
Belper Town 2
King’s Lynn 6
Shaw Lane 4
Farsley 3
Gresley 0
Matlock 2
Leamington 6
Barwell 1
Mickleover 0
Rushall 1
Warrington Town 2
Brighouse Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine 1
Sheffield FC 0
Newcastle Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Cambridge City 0
Northwich Victoria 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering 1
St Ives Town 0
Colwyn Bay 0
Burscough 1
Stourbridge 2
Halesowen 1
Stamford 1
Carlton Town 2
Bideford 4
Farnborough 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Brentwood 3
Neots 2
Bedworth United 0
Hungerford 3
Banbury 0
Haringey Borough 3
Dunstable Town 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hitchin 3
Thurrock 3
Chatham 0
Heybridge 0
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Tonbridge 3
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 4
Leighton Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Royston Town 2
Leiston 3
Worthing FC 1
Redbridge 1
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Bedford 3
Northwood 1
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Billericay 0
Chesham 2
Taunton Town 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Molesey 1
Didcot 0
Merstham 2
Harlow 6
East Thurrock Utd 4
South Park 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Tiverton 3
Waltham Abbey 3
Chalfont St Peter 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Harrow Borough 0
Staines 1
VCD Athletic 2
Frome Town 2
Egham Town 1
Romford 0
Slough Town 4
Lewes 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hendon 0
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 2
Chippenham Town 1
Leatherhead 1
Kingstonian 5
Marlow 3
Larkhall 0
Bashley 1
Mangotsfield 6
Canvey Island 2
Needham Market 0
Hornchurch 2
Metropolitan Police 3
Hastings 2
Chipstead 1
Poole Town 0
Merthyr Town 1
Bury Town 2
Kings Langley 0
Herne Bay 4
Walton Casuals 3
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Final
Blyth Spartans 1
Whitby 0
Ashton United 2
Stratford 1
Evesham 1
Spennymoor 2
Buxton 5
Radcliffe 1
Skelmersdale 4
Lincoln Utd. 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Darlington FC 0
Nantwich 5
King’s Lynn 1
Shaw Lane 1
Matlock 2
Leamington 3
Rushall 2
Warrington Town 3
Basford Utd. 0
Marine 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 3
Stocksbridge 4
Kettering 0
Burscough 3
Stourbridge 2
Carlton Town 0
Bideford 3
Brentwood 2
Neots 1
Hungerford 2
Haringey Borough 1
Hitchin 4
Thurrock 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 0
Thamesmead 2
Tilbury 4
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford 1
Weymouth 4
Swindon Supermarine 2
Chesham 3
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Molesey 4
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Tiverton 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
VCD Athletic 0
Frome Town 2
Slough Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 3
Kingstonian 4
Marlow 1
Mangotsfield 0
Canvey Island 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Hastings 1
Merthyr Town 2
Bury Town 3
Herne Bay 2
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